Stellar launched to much hype back in 2015. The project had the goal in mind of becoming a widely used network for storing and moving money. Since then, Stellar has made some progress growing its ecosystem and improving its technological stack.
However, it continues to lack interest from a large community of outside developers—most of the current development is incentivized by the Stellar Development Foundation (SDF).
The competition is increasing, though. While Stellar is simply trying to build a network for storing and using money, Ethereum is already doing that.
The recent rise of DeFi on Ethereum could be considered a real thread to Stellar. Ethereum is flourishing with a wave of new financial projects building on it, while Stellar can only hope to have a similar ecosystem one day.
The growing competition will make it even more difficult for Stellar to build the necessary network effects, and the project will likely face even more challenges with adoption going forward.
Although Stellar is well-set financially and has a highly qualified team, the team’s ability to overcome current adoption challenges remains questionable. Due to these uncertainties, we are downgrading Stellar from B- to C+.
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Convex’s business model is built on Curve, a DeFi blue chip that continues to be one of the market leaders. It repackages Curve’s governance into a liquidity bootstrapping product that is already being used by projects like Abracadabra and Alchemix, and there is potential for more projects using it down the line. Ergo, Convex is one of the few examples of business-to-business models in crypto.
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